NFL Protests: An Exercise in Selfishness

This is the second time I’ve written about Colin Kaepernick. The scenario last year really pissed me off for two reasons. First, non-political events are being dragged into the political realm like a calf to a butcher. Sports is one of those areas, especially football. Second, because refusing to acknowledge the anthem and to bring attention to oneself is so unfair it should be met with scorn and derision for everyone engaging in it. What does the flag (and the anthem) have to do with your particular political grievance? 

Under this logic, any player with ANY political complaint could sit during the anthem. Don’t like immigration? Have a seat. Income tax too high? Too low? Protest the flag. Don’t have enough health care? Take a knee.

This is silly and gets us nowhere except at each other’s throats because the protest is out of bounds.  

I just read a story about some NYC cops who support Colin Kaepernick and his anti-flag demonstration that caused such a fuss last year. The Giants were thinking about bringing him into camp this year as a backup to Eli Manning. Because of the hate mail and pressure they decided against it ultimately. This has been the case with a few other teams, Baltimore to be specific. I don’t want to open the Kaepernick can of worms again but the guy plays in a league with pretty strict policies on everything from off the field behavior to dress code. They didn’t try to stop him from ‘demonstrating’ and sounding like an ass whenever he spoke. He got what he wanted. Now he’s ostracized and he doesn’t like it. He is reaping the rewards of a conscious decision he made and explained to all football fans who frankly didn’t want to hear it.

Some players are going on record saying he should be on a team. Or that he was treated unfairly. The argument usually is the player is being denied some ‘right’ to speak or demonstrate. Using the flag as a prop for your personal grievance is the lowest form of dissent and he should have known it. I can’t imagine doing that in a foreign country with genuine human or religious rights violations. The flag IS the country, good or bad. When supporters of Colin act surprised at the hatred from fans it proves they don’t get it. There are so many high profile ways to bring attention to political issues. Join a group. Start a group. Call a reporter and bloviate about the state of country. Give money to a campaign or cause.  Kneeling for the anthem or holding up a fist is cheap and dirty.

 It’s using a platform that isn’t yours for a cause that isn’t relevant to the game.

There still seems to be some question as to why NFL football fans write letters and react angrily to Colin Kaepernick and I think sports media needs a lesson in why this is. I hear radio hosts comparing Kap’s ‘sins’ to ‘sins of other athletes, drug possession, spousal abuse, drinking and driving, they like to weigh one versus the other. But not standing for the national anthem isn’t a moral failing or poor decision at a night club like a lot of other player misdeeds. There isn’t a scale for this kind of thing. He made a statement on a platform that wasn’t open to him. He stormed into our house, put his cleats on the furniture, and pissed on the floor. Then he shared his thoughts on America as a racist country (the country he makes a lot of money in) and why it must change. He also insisted on ‘doing his part’ by not standing for the anthem, an unrelated act to either cops or the country’s founding.

He is reviled, not because of his views but because he chooses the wrong venue to share them, especially in settings where they aren’t wanted. We’re all upset when our team’s star athlete gets caught with drugs or pulled over for drunk driving. They’ve let everyone down including teammates and fans, family and friends. Ultimately we forgive them when they get on track and make it right. Kaepernick didn’t just offend our sense of liberty and patriotism though. He didn’t tell us something awful, about the country, we weren’t prepared to hear. He didn’t ‘expose our inner racism’ or highlight the unfairness in the system. He didn’t bring attention to anything other than his own fruitless crusade. He stole the attention due the flag and all it represents—liberty, freedom, heroism for his own childish ends. He willfully and spitefully insisted that his on-field rebellion was linked because of cops killing blacks.

He has succeeded in one way. Other players are now sitting during the anthem. They took the most outrageous and beside the point effort toward attention. This is why I think they’re just malcontents. There are countless ways to voice opposition as stated before. Platforms exist for this type of ‘anti’ activism. When it starts bleeding into sports, a traditionally non-political sphere, people feel cheated. They write letters demanding the owner of their favorite team reject Colin. They call the headquarters and yell at the phone operators, they call radio shows and voice displeasure. If left wing activist groups behind Kaepernick thought this was a good idea they’ve been proven wrong, very wrong.

I don’t want to boycott the NFL or turn off the games over this non-sense but if I have to I will. This politicizing of everything needs to stop and I don’t pretend to know where to begin. If support for Kaepernick grows and color commentators feel the need to remark on protests, show the sitting players, or remind the audience of the on-going debate. I’ll tune out. It’s actually getting easier for me to turn off shows I find objectionable. It’s easier than getting angry all the time. I’ll just deny them the one thing they crave, attention. 

Risky Business

I used to love playing Texas Hold ‘em with friends in the student apartments when I was in college. I learned something about gambling and the risky nature of betting money. I’m not good at it. I try to cautiously gamble, which is impossible, and carefully wager money. One of my friends use to say he could read my ‘tells’ easier than most. “Really?" I said. "What do I do that makes you know the kind of cards I’m holding.”

“Easy.” He said. “You’re cheap with fake money the same as with real money. You only make large bets when you’re holding sure winners like Aces or Kings.” I tried to argue but he had me. Some people can’t hide their tells. I haven’t played cards much since then. I tried overcompensating for a while by being reckless, bluffing a lot and losing quicker. I never really enjoyed it anyway. 

I’m risk averse on most things and card games are no different.  

 Gambling for poker chips is a poor measure for determining a person’s risk aversion. Individuals have different levels of risk tolerance for important things in life. I never cared about winning poker chips so I didn’t work hard at it, content to manage it comfortably and stay in the game. This might seem a little backwards. Why wouldn’t I play careless with worthless chips and bet heavy with small cards or risk it all on a bluff? Because I didn’t value winning at poker, I valued the experience of being with friends. The reward was fun, not winning.

At some point the scales tip though and the reward IS worth the risk. This is true of everyone at some point in life. It isn’t as easy as we pretend though.  We all have a risky, wager it all mentality for the right kind of reward. So what is it that turns you into a risk seeking Vegas high roller? Is it job freedom or romance, maybe a hobby?

 Figuring out what might take the better part of life.

Some people are easier than others. Professional athletes want to win and their competitiveness sometimes leads to taking performance enhancing drugs to get a slight edge. Their reward is winning medals or signing big contracts but the competition is incredibly tight so they risk getting caught and having their name destroyed. If it wasn’t worth it they wouldn’t keep doing it. Of course not all do it, but cheating at such high stakes is not unusual. They establish the reward and determine the risk. 

 Most people face the risk/reward paradox at some point in life. Some can navigate the high stakes real better than others. Day traders and commission salesman come out on the competitive side while government workers and salaried employees stay on the safe side. Most of us land somewhere between those careers on a graph, depending on our personal risk tolerance, our comfortability taking chances.

At some point in life all of us take an uncomfortable risk (or should), a step further than we intended. A step we aren’t sure about but that feels right regardless. People who start businesses know this feeling well. The strength required to make a company profitable is superhuman at times and demands regular overtime hours. From hiring honest, loyal workers to keeping customers happy and (hopefully) coming back takes an individual who knows risk. There aren’t guarantees for success and the statistics are against new ventures. Persistence and guts make the difference when talent falls short. 

Small business is not for the faint of heart yet countless people do it because the risk for them is worth the reward. Ask a business owner why they take on the burdens of running it and they’re likely to say something like, “I get to be the boss.” Or “My kids will have something of their own”. Maybe “I love the job, I am good at it.” “I make more money going it alone than working for someone else.”

Different reasons and different rewards but each one figured out the particular scale tipper and went ‘all in’. Some figure it out early in life and others much later. We all have it though and in most major points in life (career, marriage, finance) the scale tips and we make a bet.

As for cards, I just can’t do it anymore. I never enjoyed it much anyway and losing any amount of money is just too painful. Besides after this article everyone knows my ‘tell’. How can I possibly go on?

Marketing Subjects

Convincing people to buy anything is tough. From sales pitches about fear and safety to prideful notions of about ‘sexy’ and ‘powerful’ most of it has been tried before. The successful brands understand how visual cues and pattern recognition trigger wants and needs. 

I remember shopping in a trendy part of Shanghai. The brick road that ran between the glass storefronts was full of venders standing behind temporary stalls. From comic books and cologne to DVDs and fried candy it was a buffet for the senses. This wasn’t one of those markets where you argue with the stall owner over the price of a fake North Face jacket or pick the best looking imitation Rolex. This was a legit shopping experience although the dodgy types were around trying to sell knockoffs to anyone who could be pulled away.

 A lot of the retail stores would look right at home in any major city’s shopping district. One particular store had a display like a wooden book shelf full of square shelves with t-shirts from floor to ceiling folded neatly. It covered the entire side of wall. Much of it was too high for the clerk to reach without a wheeled ladder, again like in a bookstore. I couldn’t look away. It was beautiful. Every imaginable color of shirt perfectly sorted and identical in pile size to the one on each side of it, not to mention above and below. If you stood back, way back, it resembled a rack of those little paint swatches you get at Lowes. It was a freaking wall of cotton t-shirts why should I care about the display?

“Of course I’ll buy one! How about the purple one at the top, someone get the man a ladder! Get a red one too.”

I don’t think I connected it at the time but the impressive display was the point. Our eyes are attracted to symmetry and color. A corporate research team probably figured out the most efficient way to bring attention to their product (This was a chain retailer). By using recognizable shapes and colors they tricked me into buying stuff, the essence of marketing. The t-shirt display in Shanghai was one example of marketing on steroids, or maybe just an updated version of a proven sales tactic. Show the goods, highlight, display, demonstrate.

 Most of us can think of a time when something on a store shelf got our attention or a showy product feature impossible to ignore. It’s the phycology of selling. I want to know what attracts the human eye to product, ordinary boring stuff like cotton shirts that most people would look at unless displayed in an attention grabbing way. This isn’t just intellectual curiosity. I’ve worked retail for a lot of years and in many cases had to set up displays for stuff no one seemed to want.

Two solid rules to selling,  People love ‘cute’ and demonstrations bring audience. 

We used to have miniature baseball bags complete with functional zippers and garish brands splashed across the sides. The tiny wheels rolled like carry on luggage across tile floor, I demonstrated a few times. The marketing idea being a tiny version of the real thing is the best way to show it. Outdoor retailers do this with tents. They were only props though. Problem is the props didn’t work like the props should. Customers were interested in the mini bags instead of the actual ones.

Customer: “How much for the little duffles?”

Me: “Sorry they're just displays, can’t sell em”

Customer: “I just want one, the yellow one?”

Me: “Yeah, I not supposed to sell them either as a set or individually”

Customer: “What are you going do with em after the season, you won’t need the display?”

Me: “Don’t know…probably sell them”

Customer: sarcastically “Yeah thanks!”

Those types of conversations happened almost daily over those stupid little bags. I don’t remember selling too many of the real ones. People just wanted the ‘cute’ ones.

Another thing people like is demonstrations. A product you can show is a product you can sell. We had a putty type material that solidified when hit. You could knead the raw stuff in your hands like Play-Doh. The putty substance company put it in rib protectors for football players and girdles for hip and thigh protection. It was expensive but worked great and we got to demonstrate how protective it was by slamming a helmet on our hand with nothing but a rib shirt between the hand and the helmet. Best part was it made a huge banging noise when we attempted to show how protect-ant the material was. Imagine the thunk--thunk of a slamming football helmet on a counter and you’ve got it. People stopped what they were doing and ambled over the watch the eager salesman mash his hand under a swinging helmet. It mostly worked...mostly. A really enthusiastic smash would still get through. Course you had to play it off like “Pain? What pain?” and hope no one noticed the red throbbing hand. I had plenty of training for this growing up with brothers. Any show of emotion during an arm punching contest was a sure looser.

 I learned how to smile through the pain, tears below the surface.

Ever been to a public event or busy shopping district and noticed kids break dancing? Watched a chef show off some new knives at a grocery store at a makeshift kitchen between the cereal and soap isles? The crowds gather because something out of the ordinary is happening. Some form of entertainment is happening NOW. It’s seemingly spontaneous and demanding. No matter how amateur or silly the show we all want to watch. We love distraction. Best of all, distraction helps to sell when done right.

 The classic example of marketing distraction was Nike at the Olympic Games in Atlanta. Reebok owned the rights to officially use the Olympic trademark and outfit athletes in their gear. Nike managed to set up a giant logo (how is that legal?) outside the athlete’s village so when cameras panned over the facilities a massive swoosh loomed large on TV screens. They also got Michael Johnson to wear a pair of bright gold running spikes in his winning event. They made a lot of enemies for their “ambush” style but nobody could have pulled it off like Nike.

I guess we are all subject to distracting advertising and bright attention grabbing displays. I try to remember it before shopping for t-shirts.       

Husband, Father, Christian

It was a day like any other day. I found out my uncle passed away. Lost his battle with cancer after what probably seemed like an eternity to his family. After hearing the news the pacing of the day seemed to slow as the importance of work became less so. When a family member dies, even a distant one, it forces us to remember specific characteristics about them and tell stories.

It also reminds us of how precious life is.  

Everyone leaves their impact on the world in different ways. I am sitting here listening to an instrumental station that is heavy on piano melodies and old school worship. It seems appropriate for the moment since I associate piano worship with my uncle. I am sure he occasionally sat down to watch a movie or read a book but in my mind I can’t imagine it. To me he was engaged in some other activity at all times. If the families were eating cake for a birthday party he was around but usually taking pictures and video of the party, not to mention editing the photos before everyone left. He liked being just outside of the circle, just on the edges of the party. Present and polite but engaged in other pursuits at the same time. His mind organized work before play even though some of his work must have felt like play. 

My Uncle the photographer.

Funerals are difficult for a whole lot of reasons and even tougher when the deceased is family. Death has been defeated but we are still left with its legacy. Its efforts to convince us that the sting is real and the grave is forever are cruel lies constantly retold. Even in defeat Death fights harder and inflicts more pain. We have a Champion though whose resurrection eliminates the finality of death—a savior who broke the curse forever revealing a bright future full of hope and free of sorrow.

 Our efforts at love and life are God inspired and hopefully we touch others with the light of Christ. Our talents reflect the beauty of our Creator. Much of that beauty for Eldon is in the music he created. The lyrics and melodies he loved to write while sitting at his piano and recording. He seemed to have a craftsman’s dedication to playing, improving, tweaking.  Song flowed naturally from him the way water flows from an underground spring. One memory I have is of my uncle on the stage at church performing one of the songs he wrote while playing the guitar. I didn’t know before that day he could play so well, or at all. The piano sure, the guitar—I never knew it. 

My Uncle the musician.

I remember his fondness for Seinfeld and the quirky humor the show was known for. I didn’t share his fascination with old sports cars and his tech knowledge was far ahead of mine.  Seinfeld I got though. I think his happiness and ‘fan boy’ enthusiasm for the show rubbed off on those around him. By the time it became syndicated the show had spanned generations of followers and nerd subcultures that used Seinfeldian phrases in everyday speech. Words like “re-gift” and “close talker” caught on. It was a joy to see my uncle as a Seinfeld superfan, an unexpected surprise. He even combined his hi-fi tech skills with his TV show cataloging skills and set up a program to automatically download shows not already in his library. I can’t decide which part of him worked harder at organizing that software, Seinfeld fan guy or techy genius guy.

 It’s impossible not to appreciate someone who perfects a craft or who takes pleasure in learning something new. That enthusiasm for learning and crafting, tinkering and toying sums up Eldon. Business types have a term for people who blaze a trail in new technology and push forward through research. They call them Early Adopters. I remember him explaining how he learned the basic code that Benson Stone used for rudimentary functions (remember mid 80’s). He told me he analyzed the dots on the printed pages and used trial and error to learn a handful of strokes and functions. From there he built on the little code he knew to adapt more and take on larger projects. I was impressed, but also a little disappointed because I realized I would never go to that much trouble. It wasn’t trouble to him though. He enjoyed the messy process that a lot of us simply hate. 

My uncle the Early Adopter.

As Christians we understand the glorious future that awaits while hoping for extended time with loved ones and praying for it desperately. My uncle was certainly a loving husband and father who raised his kids in line with the scriptures. The uncle I saw though was a quiet self-made type who was a gifted musician and appreciated quirky humor.

God be with his family in this tough time.

Random Generator: Journaling

I get writer’s block frequently. Coming up with interesting stuff seems to take more effort every week. Lately what works for me is journaling. Journaling is my ace in the hole. It’s what I come back to when nothing else works. It’s what feels right. It’s where my passion first started and my craft began taking shape. It’s the place I return to for inspiration. It’s like a long satisfying exhale, like the kind a dog makes when he completely relaxes and splays out on the floor.

 Nothing works better for material than personal experience and it’s why (looking back) may favorite pieces, the ones I loved to write are about me. That’s right “Me”; the center of my universe, or so it seems. Oddly I don’t like to talk about myself or what is going on in my life. Yet it remains the richest source of material for most writers who write what they know. I hate when Facebook ‘asks’ me to post where I’ve been, what I’m doing or to ‘check in’. I don’t think about it and don’t want to.

This isn’t a personal gripe against people who share a lot. Some are just good at it and enjoy telling others what's up. The question I always ask myself is “Does anyone really care that I went to Braums and got mint chocolate chip shake?” which happens a lot by the way. Have you had one? Common, right! Or do people care that I voted Republican and think the Clintons are a southern version of the Corleones? I backed off the political stuff this last year. I would say it had to do with the nastiness of the race and the lack of a decent human being at the top of either ticket but, no. It was just hard to wave a flag for Trump or tuck my ears beneath a MAGA hat.

 Trump is hardly Cicero despite Hillary’s crime family bona fides.

 American politics have seen nastier more personal phases but none of them have occurred during my lifetime. The Jackson/Adams campaign of 1828 is regarded as one of the dirtiest most personal election seasons in our short history. Adams was called a ‘pimp’ while Jackson got accused of marrying another man’s wife (a technicality in Rachel’s past). Personal attacks by partisan newspapers were the norm. Today we think of newspapers and media outlets as slanted but not openly partisan, at least we didn’t until this year.

Actually the more I think about it the more that fateful period in history matches the cage match from last year.

Most of the time my reluctance to share is rooted in just that “Does anyone care attitude?” and I usually opt out. I don’t burn white hot over issues that would have fired me up years ago. It only takes seeing Christians executed for their faith by terrorists groups like ISIS to put events in perspective. Suddenly my interests and fascinations over political parties and the games they play blur in comparison to the horror of persecution. It isn’t that my passions aren’t important but the biblical trials suffered by Christians around the world stand in stark relief to casual day to day politics. If one isn't heartsick over the news that Christians villages are torched or that young women are raped by ISIS jihadis than they don’t have a heart. After news like that it is hard to get exercised over corporate tax rates or national health insurance.

The other side is feeling guilty over the relative ease of life in America. We can certainly get caught up in the misery of war, famine and persecution, dangerously thinking nothing in the Western world is important because misery exists somewhere all the time “…while you stuff your face with waffles!”

 In the nineties movie Greedy one of the characters is renowned for telling Uncle Joe not to buy grapes because the farmers were treating the labor like slaves, overworking and underpaying them. He is a classic hippie who eschews the greedy despotic lifestyle of the rich self-made man. At one point Uncle Joe tells him during a chance encounter thirty years later that he is “Still eating grapes.” The message being I’m still living my life and enjoying it, so buzz off. 

No one likes to get ripped for enjoying life and sometimes the dreariness of the world can turn to guilt over a blessed situation. Many can point to those who care about suffering far away but can’t show up to work on time or pay their bills. Certainly a place exists for ‘Enjoying all things richly’ but these peeks behind the curtain are God’s way of reminding us that a larger world exists. We need to be mindful of how we spend time and money. 

So in the interest of journaling I started writing this blog a few years ago to get better at writing and explore different topics. Self-reflection is the key for me. If not for a sense that self-reflection leads to improvement I wouldn't know how else to proceed. 

 Companies do this as a matter of principle: What happened? What was the result? What can we do better next time? Reflection is natural for anyone hoping to improve whatever they do. I never expect this particular one to turn into a blog post since my reflection is just that most times, a personal measure of where I am at in my progress. My mind seems fixated on ‘progress’ as it relates to. . . well, everything lately. From my workout routine and growth of my yard shrubs to the Trump’s presidency, nothing seems insignificant. Growth is stunted and haphazard but plodding forward (with Trump I mean).

My shrubs are fine. 

Performance Reviews: The real purpose

“Where do you see yourself in five years?” Aww not this question please.

She asked it to me just as I was nailing the technical parts of the review. I didn’t like the question before and I really hated it now. It assumes I’ll still be here working for this company 5 years on, doubtful. A non-answer assumes laziness and that might be worse. Actually it is definitely worse. No company wants a lazy manager. Employees come and go but managers are supposed to have larger visions, bigger goals. It’s a nerve racking proposition to be put on the spot for any review because raises and bonuses depend on them. No pressure right?

“Well, I’d like a crystal ball that’s for sure, Haha!” How ridiculous do I sound right now? The lame humor is pouring out of me like blood from a gunshot wound.

A delay says I am working on my best “Wow” response because I clearly haven’t thought about it.

A quick answer might seem too flippant or relaxed. I might curse if I am too relaxed, not professional. I swear when I am nervous too though so no good. Here it goes.  

“I’d like to manage ah, um...department…hopefully…” not convincing at all! Do you even work here?

My answer sounded more like a question. My reviewer noticed my nervousness.

“You don’t have to know exactly what you want.” She helpfully explained.

She was reading from a set of prepared answers that the corporate partners all use. Across the country nervous entry level managers everywhere are considering their options: should I go big and talk about running a store or be honest and blurt out “How the hell should I know. Why don’t you ask me how much of a raise I need? Or which of the employees on my crew should make LESS than minimum wage? Or which ones will be gone in less than a year? Those are questions I know.”  

Something to understand about the employee reviews designed to reach into your beating heart and pull a corporate logo Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom style, it isn’t true. They aren’t designed that way at all.  Companies want to hire and promote goal setters. It doesn’t matter so much what those goals are. People who plan for the future think ahead in other areas of life as well.

The minute by minute types can’t see above their level and don’t care to. They worry about their corner and nothing else. They often show up for work but aren’t flexible outside of what they know, their training. It is nearly impossible for them to get promoted in a truly meritocratic system because their work behavior acts like hedge against advancement. The review questions might seem designed to check your loyalty but more accurately they separate good employees from bad. Or at least they try to.  

Put yourself in that manager’s chair, the big leather one with a high back and a neck support. Imagine you have to get a project from early stage A to finished stage Z in the fewest days possible. Say the retailer you work for is opening a new store in 6 months and the building is a long way from finished. As the store’s manager you need to hire around 100 people in less than a month. A stack of applications sets in folders in front of you. You don’t have a shortage of people looking to work but you do have a one major problem, not enough time to do full interviews and follow ups. You need to decide on a couple key questions for department managers since the pay is better (a little) and the responsibility is greater. Remember also this is a corporate operation so you can’t make up your own interview questions. 

I know you have a ‘full proof’ method for asking Star Wars trivia and sussing out character flaws but you have to use the prepared sheet so focus. Not the whole interview of course, this is a quick and dirty ‘get em processed and working’ event and time is running short.

The ‘5 years’ question forces the one being asked to evaluate very quickly the important parts of their life, the career stuff. Answers can be messy since the point is to find out who has thought about it and who has not. You can use your own scale on what is acceptable and what isn’t. The question also works like a curve when all they have seen is fastballs down the middle. Mix it up. Change the speed and see how they handle it. Do they curse at you? Shift in their seat? Talk about the Illuminati? How they answer it might say more than the words they use.

It might seem like an exaggeration but executives and store managers are too busy to worry about how a particular question comes off. Answer honestly and don’t pretend to have Elon Musk type vision when a comfortable salary and steady hours are closer to the truth. Most important, don’t take too literal the “Where do you see yourself in 5 years?” question. If you have goals or plans for career advancement share them. Even the simple ones. Pointed truthful answers get to the heart of the matter more than broad nonsensical ones.

No one is buying your non-answer anyway.  

Taiwan's Importance

The sanctions boom is about to drop on the North Koreans for their reckless missile tests and belligerent behavior. Sanctions work for the short term but what to do long term?

North Korea has been testing missiles about every month and ramping up the danger for South Korea and anyone within range. Experts think China holds the key to stopping their obnoxiousness since they are the only ally the North has. How much of an ally are they really? Would the childish dictator Kim Jong un even listen to proposals from Beijing about not launching?

China could cut off whatever rations and food they sell to them but this regime survives on very little help as it is. The country has seen a few famines over the last decade and the Kim regime is unmoved by his peoples’ own suffering and death. What specifically could China do and what does the U.S want? It would request U.N. inspectors to pour in and verify the nuclear program is defunct if such a deal could be made. I don’t see Xi Jinping agreeing to have inspectors come anywhere near his hemisphere. It is also highly unlikely that Kim Jong Un would feel pressure to surrender his nuclear program. No such leverage exists to make him give up that much.

I am fearful that Taiwan could be used as a bargaining chip with Beijing. The only reason Taipei maintains any independence from the Mainland is the United States. The current diplomatic model is the ‘One China’ framework that recognizes China as one group ethnically, but holds that there are two systems. State Department types use the word ‘systems’ because saying ‘country’ or ‘government’ implies a separate sovereign nation exists. China claims Taiwan as part of its country, just another territory or province under rebellion. This creates all manner of craziness at world bodies like the World Trade Organization where Taiwan doesn’t have a representative. They can’t fly a flag or have ambassadors. They get no recognition as a ‘nation’ from anyone. China won’t allow it.

From Beijing’s position it would be like Nebraska sending a basketball team to represent itself in the Olympics.

Taiwan could lose the fragile bit of autonomy they enjoy if the United States cancels the weapons pact. Taipei buys anti-aircraft artillery and fighter jets from us thanks to an agreement between countries signed in 1979. Or if any American organizations or government intermediaries (like the American Institute in Taiwan) see immediate changes in leadership, a diplomatic shift is coming.  

Diplomacy is messy and requires careful deliberate moves where trades-offs are common. Leaders work toward a main goal and trade down or up depending on their position. During the Yalta Conference after Germany surrendered Russian agreed to enter the war against Japan in exchange for concessions on Poland and other European borders. They were given a slice of Berlin to manage as well, something the other Allies probably resented.

America sells arms to Taiwan and trades extensively with the island. A big part of the boom in affordable electronics during the eighties centered on manufacturing plants dotted around that country. They are important strategically as well as economically. Even if they weren’t useful in a utilitarian sense, America needs to defend its allies if it wants future partners and credibility. It might seem purely sentimental to strict “Realists” but isolating friends in order to get a better deal is bad politics. Those acts resonate with governments around the world and disrupt future attempts to enlist them to our cause. It was a mistake to ignore Ukraine when they needed weapons against a belligerent Russia in 2014. We don’t need to send troops into every corner of the globe but we should at least honor commitments and be aggressive diplomatically.

The real question on North Korea is what can they be made to do? Their dictator is crazy enough to launch missiles and short range artillery at the South at the slightest provocation. Maybe he isn’t really that crazy, but that has to be the calculation when dealing with any nuclear armed tyrant.. The fallout in South Korea would be devastating even if they could intercept most of the barrage. I’ve always suspected the Communist government in Beijing relishes their influence (however much exists) over the North Koreans.

They don’t have a lot of cards to play on a global stage but being the only broker the North Koreans will listen to is an obvious advantage. 

The Chinese want Taiwan back without US meddling. The US wants North Korea's nuclear program shut down. Time to negotiate.  

Kim Jong un needs to go at a price. His very existence is a threat to free people. But don’t trade away influence or sovereignty in Taiwan; find another way.