common sense

"there is no arguing with one who denies first principles"

Tuesday, April 25, 2023

The Family Renewal Plan for America

 


Good Governance Starts With Respect for Families

What is the biggest challenge for America going forward? 

The answers would likely be as varied as the topography. Finance gurus would point to the economics while builders to the infrastructure. Politicians might mention energy crises or education. What about our lack of understanding on Artificial Intelligence and what it portends for future work? But without a common moral thread for our varied (and selfish) thinking it’s not possible to think correctly. Christian Renewal for America starts with the smallest unit, the family. Strong families are the backbone of good governance and with their intentional nurturing of the next generation, they’ll build strong communities.

We need to get back to first principles in governance.

First Principles

I came across this verse in Proverbs “He who is often rebuked, and hardens his neck, will suddenly be destroyed, and that without remedy. When the righteous are in authority, the people rejoice; but when a wicked man rules, the people groan.” (Chapter 29: 1-2) Normally Proverbs doesn’t link one set of verses to the next. The chapters are often disconnected in their content. In this case however, there is reason to believe that weak governance encourages rebellion. In America we elect leaders to legislate, execute and judge.

When we lose our connection with voting rights, we loose our voice. But a country doesn’t just lose voting rights all at once. It becomes less important in a number of ways. The most straightforward one is by trading morality for convenience. We do this by ignoring the school curriculum where our kids attend. Or by trading family time for work, play and personal hobbies. It’s not strange to connect the increasing wickedness in the country to the collapse of the family. The family is the most important unit for civilization, democracy and Christian liberty. It’s the smallest governing body that exists. Accountability, support, education and cooperation all exit within it. Stubbornness plants a seed when we reject the value of family in our lives.

With the family weak it’s much easier to break apart other traditions.  

Don't Trust DC  

If you stop teaching civics, you lose the connection that voting has in the minds of citizens. People get fooled at the ballot box all the time. Politicians make outlandish claims and don’t deliver, tax rates go up even after they were supposed to stay the same. But voting and getting fooled is better than believing you live in a rigged system. I don’t mean it’s rigged from top to bottom, I just wonder how much national elections really matter. We’ve seen federal agencies (FBI, IRS) used like a mafia goon squad to advance a communist agenda. Maybe this was always the case but it’s becoming obvious that our lives aren’t free or private.

It’s clear from all the LGBT signaling the government does, that the family and Christianity are the enemy.

A decadent citizenry is a stubborn one that got that way by ignoring the boundaries of natural law. God’s laws on nature are meant to keep humanity from crossing into debasement. When we allow children to change their sex through surgery and permit sexual deviance of all kinds, we’ve crossed into judgement territory. Those who won’t change will be destroyed “suddenly”. Proverbs implies that these have been “often rebuked” or made aware of their sin on multiple occasions. It’s up to Christians to point the way toward salvation and be very clear about the eternal dangers of chronic wickedness and stubbornness in the face of truth.

Natural Laws

Good governance at its central core is important to keeping out of control wickedness at bay. When criminals don’t fear the law it encourages crime. In San Francisco they’ve basically decriminalized shoplifting. It’s led to gangs of kids teaming up to rob businesses of thousands of dollars of merchandise in one swoop. We’ve seen flash mobs crashing through department stores with arms full of loot. Violent crime has also increased in major cities, the district attorneys aren’t charging with felonies. They’re being let out of jail after a fine, or by giving them a misdemeanor charge. Many large cities have scrapped cash bail for violent offenses. Lawlessness pushes the law abiding out of the cities where they fear for safety.

There is a willful attempt to cede fear and chaos in cities. When the wicked rule the people groan. Proverbs connects the ideas of stubborn people to poor governance. The reverse is also true, respect for law and order everywhere gives citizens a hope for a bright future. Spiritual renewal starts with the family. Big ideas and top down approaches won’t fix the mess our institutions are in. We can rebuild them with a respect for rule of law and Christian liberty.

 

Thursday, April 20, 2023

Taiwan: A Country in Limbo

 


Is Taiwan Close to Being Subdued?

What’s the state of affairs around Taiwan’s defense? Beijing makes aggressive moves, drills and war games, just outside of their air defense zone regularly. It could be a bluff to try and draw out some response from Taipei. If they shot down a plane, the CCP could use it as a pretext to start a war. China considers Taiwan a “breakaway province” anyway, so it’d more like a police crackdown to them.

Officially the US still has a treaty with Taiwan, for whatever that’s worth. Nowhere in the treaty does it commit the US to come to their aid if Beijing sends troops and starts dropping bombs. The language of the agreement is vague in that State Department way of agreeing but not committing.

No one wants to get in a hot war over Taiwan. We’ve had enough of fighting other battles for a while. We can’t get into another one.  

Besides, the US isn’t in a strong position vis a vis China. They manufacture most of our consumer goods, electronics and clothing. War would be much costlier than in the 80s. Back then the Chinese were still trying to feed large swaths of their rural population. Russia was surely a greater threat. But now, China is the world’s factory. We’d suddenly see what it was like to start manufacturing for ourselves again. But starting up domestic industries out of desperation would be tough. Good for America long term, yes. But painful in the short term.

 If you think the start and stop of industries during Covid was bad wait until we get into a hot war with China. It would be like throwing a moving yacht into reverse. The whiplash alone will cause the most wreckage.

How would Beijing actually inflict their will on Taiwan? I’ve read some reports that say a blockade makes the most sense. Beijing could set up a perimeter at strategic ports around the island and start telling foreign commercial ships to turn around. That is unless their country of origin (say the United Kingdom) agrees to cut off all ties to the Taiwanese government. A blockade is closest to how China has operated so far. Seeking to isolate the country, CCP officials put pressure on other countries for either “recognizing” Taiwan or having diplomatic relations with them. Before China joined the WTO (World Trade Organization) and gained some legitimacy few thought war was even possible. This was 2001.

But the mainland isn’t a poor third world country anymore, even if large parts of it are rural farmland. They’ve basically told the rest of the world they own the South China sea. An absurdly large territory that encircles a vast number of other countries Vietnam, Malaysia, Philippines, Brunei and Singapore. But in politics and global domination, the big and bold make the decisions. I read a fair amount of opinions that think an invasion is unlikely. Mostly because it’s really hard to win a war and impose your will. Even the United States got out of Afghanistan after 20 years without accomplishing a whole lot. Ditto for Iraq.

After we deposed Saddam, we felt the sting of a counter insurgency. That took another few years to get control of, and a troop surge, followed by another troop surge. It’s easy to look back and be critical about the overall mission, but the simple fact remains, war is complicated. Another aspect of the Chinese PLA (People Liberation Army) is the lack of actual combat they’ve had. In order to be good at fighting and subduing populations you need experience. The Chinese haven’t had any real wars to speak of. That doesn’t bode well for success in a foreign endeavor, even one with a significantly smaller population. Military manuals and schools of thought are built on the framework of previous excursions. You need to have combat in order to teach it, at least if you’re invading another country that’s usually the case.

Of course this doesn’t mean they won’t succeed. But it does mean it won’t be as easy as they hope. Anyway, China doesn’t want to blow up Taiwan. They want to capture their industries and steal their intellectual property. Taiwan has some of the largest semiconductor and telecom industries in the world. The wealth of the country is the real prize. As a side issue, the United States has sadly lost a lot of clout as a defender of liberal democracies. I realize this probably sounds a little naïve, maybe World War II was the last time we were thought of like that. But if America still is a force for good around the world it means other countries need to believe it too.

Our strength and position (militarily, economically) is significantly weaker than it was 20 years ago. China knows this. It’s why they’re acting belligerent toward Taiwan. I’m not sure we could do much other than pressure them diplomatically. Maybe that’s the best choice for now.  

 

 

Sunday, April 9, 2023

Nikki Haley's Insignificant Campaign Platform: Budgeting


Middle Class Americans Won't Go for This: Nikki Haley's Big Gamble On Budgeting


Is Nikki Haley actually going to make cutting the deficit a cornerstone of her campaign? What year is this I forget? It’s a useless platform for a Republican party that’s moved on.

Paul Ryan tried this trick in 2012 and failed miserably. It’s the donor class’s favorite issue for their shills. After Romney/Ryan’s failed presidential effort, a lot of America started to figure out how the GOP game is played. Run on issues that are easily dispensed with once you get elected. Don’t embarrass the donors with icky lower class concerns like the border, abortion and crime. You can always give half measures to the pro-life rubes. Tell them you believe life is precious and all that, but don’t support any real measures that restrict abortion. Don’t attend the big national marches or be seen taking pictures with leading abolitionists.

All of this amounts to advice from their highly paid consultants.

The federal budget will never be meaningfully cut without a major crisis. Too many sectors, institutions, non-profits, contractors and ne'er-do-wells rely on it. It’s why it’s the perfect issue to run on for unserious politicians. It’s similar to the Free Tibet movement we saw in colleges in the late nineties and early 2000s. Actors like Richard Gere and Brad Pitt used to protest the CCP’s brutal crackdown of the Dali Lama. China hadn’t penetrated Hollywood then. Actors and directors (Martin Scorsese) could bloviate about the atrocities committed by Beijing with little consequence. Suddenly China became powerful and put an end to the weasel words, we don’t hear much about it anymore.

The point is to sound serious without having to prove it.

Free Tibet was a niche movement that could never make a difference. Reigning in the budget is hardly a niche idea, but like Free Tibet, designed to be a talking point and nothing else. We only get real change through a collapse in the dollar. Niki Haley’s just the latest example of a presidential candidate who doesn’t understand the mood of the country. She was a good governor, but a little too institutional. She is proudly American, supported immigration laws and represented us well at the U.N under Trump. I’ve always thought she explained how her immigrant parents became Americans, a beautiful story.

But we don’t live in the age of budget battles. We don’t live in that country anymore. Our thuggish government is forcing Christianity out of the public square and making everyone accept sexual deviance as a sacrament. Biden’s press secretary Katherine-Jean-Pierre talked of the difficulties ‘trans’ kids face. This, just a few weeks after the shooting of the kids and staff at a Christian school, by a confused trans woman. The administration is letting us know they think of Christians as the enemy.

It's not that we don’t have a budget issue, but we’ve had a spending problem for so many years that’ it’s almost part of doing business. Also, talking about accounting in an age of anarchy is just tone deaf. It’s like letting flash mobs steal product from the store but making sure the cash drawer balances at the end of the day. The cash drawer needs to balance, but the problem staring us in the face is lawlessness, and why thieves are suddenly emboldened to carry armfuls out the door. They don’t fear reciprocity. They don’t fear it from the police, the shopkeeper or the other patrons. They don’t fear the District Attorneys in the cities will charge them with a crime.

It's not even really Niki Haley’s fault. We’ve heard that politics is downstream of culture. That means when the representatives start considering legislation for anything, the culture (attitudes, practices) are already established among the citizens. There is little room to push back against an entrenched mood. Conservatives miss this. They ignore the local and state issues close to home until they’re overwhelmed by them. When it’s finally before a national audience they want ‘tough’ talking representatives to hold back the tide by voting NO. But it’s a much tougher ask at the federal level. Marijuana legalization will likely track the same way. Recreational marijuana is legal in 21 states today, that doesn’t include the medical variety which is legal in 18. How likely is going to be to stop it at the national level?

I do wonder how far we are from elections at the national level even mattering anymore. This is cynical I know. But something like 65-70% of Republican voters believe the election was stolen in 2020. I’ve said so too in this blog. But if that many citizens (voters) believe that their choices won’t matter in a tight race, how long can they keep going through the motions? Niki Haley isn’t up to the challenge because her campaign issues are a throw back to a time when we still trusted (sort of) our officials.

The existential crisis we face is rooted in immorality. The issues the country faces, sexual confusion, crime, drug abuse and abortion all point to a lack of the fear of the Lord. That won’t be a platform anytime soon. But it’s time to work on our local communities again. If elections still matter, push out the local communists at every level. 

Nikki Haley will remain a force in South Carolina, but it won’t extent to the national level.


Sunday, April 2, 2023

Naomi Wolf's The Bodies of Others: A Review

 


Naomi Wolf is the Resistance or: How to Make a Contrarian?

Naomi Wolf’s The Bodies of Others is the retelling of a human tragedy we’re still dealing with. For all the problems with a lockdown, the loss of freedom and the expansion of the technocracy, the worst of it was our lack of humanity towards each other. Covid transformed this traditionally liberal author to a cultural contrarian in a short time. Writers know how to research. She couldn’t get honest information from traditional sources about the case numbers. The logic for locking down and masking didn’t make sense. The vaccines and passports were unlike anything Americans were used to. She pushed against the media narratives and got shut out of social media, shunned by colleagues and snubbed by friends. Esteemed medical professionals like Jay Bhattacharya and Dr. Peter McCullough told her a different story. They also paid a price.

Her conclusion? Covid was hyped and used to keep us apart, for money, control and spiritual darkness.

The mechanism was fear. Fear keeps people in their homes. It keeps them away from others and distrustful of others, disease spreaders you know? Fear makes people pliable and dependent on a program, an institution or a medical solution. Fear rallies people around heavy restrictions and creates an enemies list of those who aren’t on board. Those who resist are heretics. This automatic sorting, dirty from clean, caring from selfish is a kind of strategic totalitarianism. It’s an evil response that pits us against each other.  

A refreshing bit near the end tells of why she agreed to talk openly about God. An objective look at the crisis exposed a lot of trampling of individual liberty and by extension, wholesale power grabs by bureaucrats. Not only at the federal level did we see “officials” deciding on masks and “essential” businesses, but also at the lowest levels of city government. And why? Because big tech is positioned to succeed when human interaction is restricted. That’s true of technology in good times. Despite the advantages of Zoom meetings, next day delivery and electronic communications, big tech thrives when people stay apart.

You can’t make money when people go to the park or attend a play at the local high school.

A favorite passage from chapter 8 that sums up the whole book nicely. “This was waged by the lords and ladies of technology; they used technology – and leveraged the culture and civilization of technology – to wage asymmetrical combat against the whole of humanity itself and to strike out against human movement, speech, touch, ingenuity, bodies, religion, families, schooling, and especially culture.” (page 140)

There is another reason technology succeeded, money. A quick look at the profit margins of tech giants like Apple, Amazon and Microsoft all saw massive increases. This doesn’t even include the drug companies (Pfizer, Moderna) after their vaccine rollouts. It’s not a stretch to think they knew this was coming and maybe lobbied hard to keep everything shut down. When you realize personal interaction is contrary to a world of technological supremacy, the duplicity makes sense. This is Naomi’s point, brilliantly highlighted throughout her anecdotes and research. The result of big tech’s reach was a society that became cruel and rejected human interacting for longer than was necessary.

Like most books it’s always the personal stories that make the biggest impact. I loved her resistance (polite though it was) to the café that wouldn’t serve unvaccinated customers. Or her refusal in the subway to stand in a designated area. The police even wrote her a citation. I don’t have a lot of sympathy for people who chose to stay away from family and friends. Wolf talks of older men and women with sunken faces, resigned to their fate because of a disease. Why did so many put up with it? I can understand a few months, maybe, but years? There is just no excuse for that level of fear.

Resistance is the only weapon we have. It doesn’t have to be violent, but it should be without apology. When you lose the right to vote what else is there? Naomi Wolf doesn’t mention the 2020 election in her book but I can’t imagine a more apt demonstration of the loss of our basic rights. Millions of Americans cast votes that were overwhelmed with fraudulent ballots in key states. It’s called cheating. The authority to lock people in their homes, once established, would not be relinquished. Our national voting ceased to matter on a national scale after 2020. Covid was the excuse.

I’m surprised she missed this connection, but she’s on a path toward enlightenment (in a sense) so I won’t beat her up over this. If there is a criticism, it’s over the exaggerated way she contrasts pre Covid life in New York and London to post Covid life. In an early scene she describes multi-ethnic groups (all races and creeds) living in harmony, going to festivals together and working toward the common good. I rolled my eyes a bit here, does anyone believe these groups got along well before Covid? But it works well as a contrast to the destruction to come and looking back…probably felt like heaven.

I first became interested in this book because of an interview I watched on Mark Steyn’s channel. Before that, I read her heartfelt apology to conservatives over the January 6th debacle. Tucker released some unseen footage that showed a different picture than the narrative we were sold. Big surprise, another lie from the Deep State. At this point though it’s taken on faith that we live in an era of big lies.

The worst thing we can do is surrender our humanity over a ‘crisis’. There will be another after all, whether imagined or real, that forces us to choose between obedience or independence. Hopefully we will have learned something the next time.