I listened to about
30 minutes of impeachment testimony on the radio Friday. This one is feels very partisan.
There isn’t a crime, at least not one that anyone can name and these witnesses
all seem to have the same angle on the Ukraine situation, that Trump used ‘irregular
channels’ with Zelensky. Big deal. Presidents’ can use any channel they want.
They establish the direction of foreign policy and can change it on a whim.
Whether going around the ambassador is a good idea or not is best left to the
voters.
The case for impeachment hangs on whether or not Trump
withheld aid to Ukraine until they coughed up dirt on Biden. But we already
know Ukraine got the money without any giving up any Biden info. There was a delay in releasing the money, but is that really worth this? So the committee
hearings are just State Department officials complaining that Trump left them
out of the diplomatic process. Trump went around them because he doesn’t trust
them.
He survived an
attempt to prove that he colluded with the Russians in 2016 to steal the
election. Robert Mueller’s report (which took a ridiculous 2.5 years) showed no
evidence of collusion and left the question of ‘obstruction’ hanging in the
air.
Forget that obstruction was beyond the mandate of the
Mueller report, the FBI team handling the probe committed serious errors. A reckoning
is coming very soon on the corruption (Comey, Mccabe) that launched the Mueller
report.
A lot of Trump’s reluctance (in my opinion) to use regular
channels is he doesn’t trust these agencies.
His administration is clumsy with
sensitive matters. He uses poor judgement and has no discipline; he lashes out
through Twitter and changes his mind and attacks the nearest bureaucrat. He is
a mess, but this back and forth with the Ukrainian president is within the
range of acceptable diplomacy.
There is a lot more in the phone call about the DNC's missing server and Crowdstrike than Joe and Hunter Biden. Trump
thinks Ukraine might have some information on this. Who knows?
During the call he
asks Zelensky to look into Hunter Biden and whether anything illegal happened
when Joe Biden got the investigator fired. It could be damaging to Joe in the
upcoming 2020 race, which is probably why we know about it.
Impeachments aren’t just about criminal behavior; Congress
is within its right to impeach on even trivial matters but if they push too
hard they’ll hurt themselves.
The trick is to convince the American people that Trump’s phone
call was so egregious it demands impeachment. I don’t think it’s going to work.
Will these hearings convince Democrat reps in red states to vote in favor? It
matters less what he is accused of doing and more about whether they can make a
case. Even if Trump is impeached it’s unlikely that the Senate votes to remove
him. The Republicans run the Senate and they aren’t likely to toss him out.
He’ll be the only impeached president to run for office if
he actually loses the vote! This might be the beginning of impeachment as a
regular political tool but I hope not. This Ukraine thing is petty. It’s obvious from these
civil servants testimonies that they are offended at having their
‘authority’ usurped by the president.
We all get territorial about our position, even small
things. I worked with a person whose job was to order office supplies and day
to day items for the business. I hated going to him with a suggestion about
anything. “Can you double up the post-its next time? We are out of forms, can
you get a few more?” Every suggestion or request was met with a heavy sigh and
a reminder of how busy he was. Problems were dismissed out of hand as ‘not
important’ or ‘not my problem’. He didn’t like sharing responsibility either,
lest we figure out how easy it is and get rid of him. Most offices have these
types, they protect their work and guard information.
This looks like what’s going on with Ambassador Yovanovitch
who Trump trashed in his phone call to Zelensky. Whatever his beef, he
could fire her for wearing too much makeup if he wanted. Presidents can do
that. I think if he had cleaned house right after coming in some of these
bureaucrats wouldn’t be such a problem. There are too many ‘threatened’
departments protecting their turf and handling information in their way. Attempts
to go around them are seen as offensive.
The 9/11 Commission
Report (remember that?) concluded
that intelligence agencies didn’t share enough information. That lack of
sharing, or “siloing”, created an environment where credible intelligence
leading to an attack on the World Trade Center was overlooked. We still see a
lot of turf protecting today.
Hulu had a show last year called the “Looming Tower”. It
showed how the CIA held on to critical intelligence that should’ve been shared
with the FBI. I have no idea how
accurate the show was but the performance of Peter Sarsgaard (Martin Schmidt) is
brilliant. An unappreciated genius who thinks his knowledge is superior, he
hides information from others so they can’t get credit. Worst of all he thinks
he is outside the chain of command, a decision maker unto himself. The point
isn’t how right or wrong Martin is but how his arrogance transcends
cooperation. He is allergic to oversight, contemptuous of other views and
calculating to a fault.
So it’s a turf war with a twist. Adam Schiff plays out his
hatred of Trump through the familiar idea of turf war and tries to makes a
gamble that he can get the votes without alienating large swathes of the
public. If he swings too hard people will show up just to vote against his
party and all of Trump’s complaining about “witch hunts” and “fake news” will
be true. Voters will see it that way too.