common sense

"there is no arguing with one who denies first principles"

Thursday, May 9, 2019

Night Creatures


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I left for work yesterday with the pounding rain soaking me before I got my car door unlocked. I looked out my windshield and noticed a dead animal catching a full dose of rainfall. I couldn’t tell what kind of critter it was. I guessed a kitten but thought it might be a rat or opossum. I sincerely hoped it wasn’t a rat that close to the house. I never got closer than 20 feet or so and it clearly wasn’t going anywhere. I decided I’d dig a hole and throw it in when I got back from work, whatever it was. Luckily the temperature never got above 60 degrees. Everyone knows what a hot steamy afternoon can do to an animal carcass.

As I drove up my driveway after work I noticed a fur ball standing up and licking itself, fully alive. I could see it better this time, a raccoon, a very young one too. Clearly injured and unable to move even a little bit as I approached. He gave a type of whine steady and fearful as I got closer and closer. It was obvious he wanted to move but some unseen wound kept him from it. I left him there and went inside. Raccoons are basically rats without the shriek factor, they can be cute. But they do eat trash and carry disease. OK they don’t live in sewers but they are a nuisance. I’m pretty sure they get in the attic too. Despite all of that I couldn’t kill him. Loose dogs or cats might though.


My neighborhood is the like the Gotham City of the animal world at night. Cats in roving gangs terrorize the streets and beat up any creature not at home after dark. They look for wounded ones especially. Birds that can’t fly and squirrels with a limp. I’ve seen both in my yard. This is the first raccoon though. I found a young rabbit with a bum hind leg who managed to escape but paid a price. They go to war with other cats from nearby streets. They wake me up with their fights and blood curdling hisses. They run across wooden fences and tease sleeping dogs who wake up and bark for hours, so irritated are they. I tolerate the cats because they keep away mice and rats, opossums and yes raccoons.

Why should I help this one raccoon out then?

I could have taken the shovel and ended his painful existence. Maybe I should have. I don’t see him making it through the night. He made a few desperate attempts to scale the big maple in the front yard, which I’m pretty sure he fell from in the first place.  Here is my theory: he moved around gingerly on the branches trying to gain footing in the downpour. He slipped and fell knocking himself unconscious or nearly so. We are talking about a 30 foot fall. At some point during the day he comes to but is in a lot of pain and pretty loopy. I walked right up to him and he hardly moved. That's how I got the picture. Some stray cats spotted him once the sun went down that night. He panicked and tried to climb the tree for safety but just didn’t have the juice in his legs. He was reduced to dragging his hind quarters and yelping like a lamb seeing a wolf in the distance. The cats never came in the yard; I made sure.



I went to work this morning again and glanced over to see signs of life from the raccoon. He was down near the base of the tree just like yesterday. If my theory about the family living in the tree is correct they should have gotten him by now. I was starting to feel like I should do something. But this is essentially a rodent we’re talking about, a baby one. If this were a rat I would have killed it no question. Raccoons are kind of grey on the good versus evil scale. It’s not like I’m keeping chickens in the yard. So I asked coworkers around the office. 'What would you do' type stuff. Do people actually care for injured raccoons? If so do they pick them up because I don’t want to take this thing for a ride in my car. One woman at work gave me a number of someone who either runs a shelter or knows someone who could take it. I wasn’t clear on the details but I promised if it was still around when I got back home I’d give her a call and we could work out the details. I still held out hope that the mother was around.

He wasn’t there when I got back tonight. I’m hoping he made another shot at the tree and scaled it this time. Or that he managed to limp away to a safer spot. But nature is pretty unforgiving and  he was in rough shape. There is always the chance a neighbor saw him and patched him up or called a wild shelter. Someone better than me no doubt.


Friday, May 3, 2019

Black Sox and Gambling



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One film and one quote come to mind about 1919 White Sox. The 1988 movie Eight Men Out and Hyman Roth’s deadpan line from the Godfather II. “I’ve loved baseball ever since Arnold Rothstein fixed the World Series in 1919”.

It’s been almost a hundred years since the infamous ‘Black Sox’ lost to the Reds in the series due to gambling debts they owed to mobs in the country. A lot of people today consider this time in baseball to be a watershed moment, a loss of innocence for a clean sport. And with gambling essentially legalized (or nearly) will we have this problem again. How ‘clean’ was baseball before the Black Sox debacle brought in a commissioner? Did the owners deserve the negative publicity because they didn't pay their players a decent wage?

Baseball might have considered itself a gentlemen's game, but it was too disorganized to keep a tight lid on bad apples. Cubs and Phillies were caught cheating during a regular season game the year after the Sox lost to the Reds. Largely because of that a grand jury convened to investigate the White Sox loss in the Series. If nothing else the owners of the clubs couldn’t have fans thinking the worst about their game.

Professional baseball wasn’t lucrative for the players in the twenties like it is today. Players scrapped for wages the way newsboys hustled to sell dailies on the corner. Until 1918, World Series teams were paid according to ticket sales. After that year they were given a flat rate. They made less money than they would have under the old policy. It’s doubtful that less money for the World Series was the impetus for taking a dive.

I never read Eliot Asinof’s book Eight Men Out but I did see the movie with John Cusack and D.B Sweeny. The White Sox owner Charley Comiskey was widely regarded as very cheap, even requiring players to pay for their own laundry for the uniforms.  

The stuff about ‘commie’ being tight was true, but he wasn’t much different from every other owner. In the movie he is basically ‘scrooge’ with a couple of players doing their best Bob Cratchit.

From NPR:

"Realitydiverges from the Eight Men Out book and movie several times.  Pomrenke [historian] said a story about the Sox owner Charles Comiskey maneuvering to avoid paying pitcher Eddie Cicotte a bonus is false.  And there was a fabricated tale of a hit man approaching pitcher Lefty Williams on the eve of the final game of the series to threaten him."

Cicotte's bonus, from the movie, was supposedly $10,000 for winning 30 games during the regular season. Cicotte won 29 and went to beg Comisky for the bonus anyway. In true miserly fashion commie tells him the deal was 30 and shoos him off.

 The story isn’t true but by most accounts the Sox had a lot of guys who relished the chance to earn a few bucks by fixing the game. A handful of guys in any age will conspire to cheat and think nothing of it, fair wages or not. The rest will avoid it because the risk of getting caught is too high or their standards prevent that kind of behavior. Some will fall in the middle, not wanting to disrupt the cheaters plans but not taking bribes or throwing the game. Buck Weaver (John Cusack) falls into the last category; he continued to try to clear his name years after getting tossed out of the sport he loved. His is the worst position, moral cowardice. The guys who never cheated or new about the scheme have their dignity and can still make money from the sport. The cheats can’t play but probably didn’t have much regard for the game anyway.

The players were found not guilty in court despite three of them (Jackson, Cicotte, Lefty) signing confessions admitting the deed. It seems like no one wanted it to be true.

Betting on sports is now legal in most states after the Supreme Court (last year) essentially made it a states’ right issue. That’s probably the right decision. States are better at controlling gaming, but I'm not crazy about adding another vice for people to get hooked on. One argument in favor of legalized gambling is that it brings all the honest betting to light. It keeps away the underground bookie, in other words. I don’t think that's true. People go to bookies because they can bet without having the money in hand. That doesn't change with legalization.

More betting and more money being thrown around increases the odds (no pun intended) of cheating. Probably not throwing an entire game or series, but shaving points and covering spreads. People bet on everything. You can bet to see how many 3 pointers some college basketball player will take. That’s much easier to fix.  
  
Betting is the game when gamblers are involved. We watch games differently when we have something at stake. I hope we don’t lose our thrill for pure sports. Keep guys like Hyman Roth at an arms length. 

Thursday, April 18, 2019

Focus on Easter


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Focus on the task at hand. It’s always been a sort of plan of mine, an ideal to live by. Block out the distraction and forge ahead. This is true for work mostly but it bleeds into my personal affairs. When I sit down to write I have to close out my browser or I’ll waste time on Facebook and Youtube. Tasks aren’t smooth and plans get disrupted constantly. Like most people I tend to waste time on trivial things. Christians need reminding, frequently, that people all around us need help. Easter is perfect for such reminding. Easter recognizes the risen Savior, the eternal promise fulfilled, hope for mankind. 

In the gospel of Luke the Angel tells Mary “Why do you seek the living among the dead?” This was Sunday morning, when Mary went to visit the Lord’s tomb and found the stone rolled away. We can almost sense a “What next?” aspect to this surprising news. We can even ask ourselves today if what we are seeking has lasting value.   

 Am I seeking life where it doesn’t exist? What regrets keep me from fully pursuing truth and purpose? Am I spending too much time with worthless pursuits? Not inherently evil plans but selfish distractions and empty victories. Do I put myself first in all things? 

By “life” I mean eternal, purposeful steps that lead others to truth and meaning. I don’t believe anyone can really pursue eternal 'good' unless Christ has changed their heart. There are countless examples of humans all over lifting up others through education or jobs, food and general welfare. Warren Buffet alone is responsible for incredible charity in both the US and around the world. The ability to change a heart isn’t possible through charity though. Only through surrender to Christ does a heart change.   

People everywhere seek happiness. We seek power, truth, pleasure and meaning. Often we need to rebuild our priorities from the ground up. It all gets to be too much. Stress and disappointment eat away at our soul and we forget about the larger picture in life. Or we just waste away assuming our past mistakes or victim status determine our future.

There is a great picture of God's grace from John 21:15 when Peter (Simon) sees the Lord after his Resurrection. The last time they saw each other Peter vehemently rejected even knowing Jesus. He did this on 3 separate occasions. Most of us fail the first time we’re squeezed. Jesus could drill Peter with talk of betrayal, shake his head in disgust. He zeroed in on Peter's regret and urged him to move forward instead.

So when they had eaten breakfast, Jesus said to Simon Peter, “Simon, son of Jonah, do you love Me more than these? He said to Him, “Yes, Lord; You know that I love You.” He said to him, “Feed My lambs.”

He asked this of Peter 3 times, removing the burden from Peter’s mind and giving him a task. "Feed my lambs".

Why do you seek the living among the dead?

 For us it’s a cautious warning, don’t waste time with traditions of men. Don’t waste time regretting past decisions. Forget how you were raised, the people you hurt and the ones who hurt you. People everywhere need to understand the eternal. You must tell them. Tombs are for the dead. He is not here; He lives! Go and find them. In the short time between the Lord’s reappearance and his transfiguration into heaven He emphasized the ‘gospel’. “Go into all the world and preach the gospel…” (NIV)

Meaning and purpose and value aren’t found in the ‘dead’ things in life.
   
Easter is a reset for life. It’s a little like New Year’s Day but with an eternal purpose, a new hope. How can a 2000 year old story be a “new” hope? Easy. Death was defeated for all time for anyone who believes, a superhero story written by a divine author. One who loved His audience so much He wrote His own Son into it. 

So don’t seek the living among the dead. Look for the eternal purpose in every action and leave the past behind. We can now. The Savior is risen!

Thursday, April 11, 2019

Papers For Sale


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Students pay big for college level essays. Essay mills aren't confined to just higher education but the ‘importance’ of getting into universities drives much of the cottage industry around essay writing. Both buyer and contractor are guilty if the writing is meant for a classroom assignment. Cheating on tests and papers comes in different forms but most people still know that paying for work and calling it your own is wrong.

Plagiarism comes in different forms. One way is to make up quotes, attribute it them Abe Lincoln and select a random history book for the bibliography. This is nearly impossible today because you need to document your sources. Sources that can be easily checked with a google search in most cases. A less blatant form of plagiarism is when an idea isn’t attributed to its original creator or original source. It’s more common because with research comes the mixing and melding of ideas. When you assume a particular line of thinking is common knowledge and don’t properly cite, it’s an understandable mistake. But it’s still wrong.

Most of us have at been tempted to use a paper that someone else turned in for a grade in a different class. Change the title and the author name (hopefully) and present it to the professor with a sleepy look in your eyes. It’s tougher to do this than it used to be, especially if you buy one from a website selling papers with subjects on everything from 'human anatomy' to 'farming practices in ancient Mesopotamia'. The software catches subjects and themes that have been used before. My favorite story is about a student submitting an essay they bought from a website with the original title still on it, something like “Web Order Number 254”.  I imagine professors have some type of shared database that scans across all disciplines. Maybe they just use Goggle. Either way it’s tough to get around it and the downside to getting caught is steep, expulsion.

Some writers make a living doing work for wealthy clients. Vice has a great article here from a freelance writer who does all the typical nonsense blue chip schools want to see before they admit kids. From admissions papers to reflection articles about how some particular art trip made them feel. Apparently this is a real problem for Korean and Chinese students in particular. For anyone who speaks English as a second language, the requirements for processing and getting up to standard are extremely difficult. It’s no excuse for cheating of course, but it does suggest a handful of undergrads probably aren’t cut out for the rigors of a top notch school. If the recent scandal with the Hollywood actors caught buying scholarships proves anything, it's that Americans are likely to use shortcuts as internationals.  

It’s easy to point at wealthy elites who pay to get around roadblocks, but the writer taking their money has no right to do so. Is the crooked cop taking bribes any better than the gangster who pays them? He’s basically saying I can’t believe how corruptible the system is that I profit from; I think you’re scum, are you hiring?

 I had an experience in college during my second year where my own ethics were tested. I was friendly with one of the athletes in my class, a foreigner on a sports scholarship. It was one of those requirements that everyone in the major had to take. He shared notes with me on a quiz I’d missed so I could study it before the final. Here is the rub. He did me a favor because I wouldn’t have known what to study otherwise.  Later that same year he offered me a $100 to do an assignment that he couldn’t finish, a paper of some kind. He needed to get back home (he said). I don’t remember the reason. I refused to do it and he asked for a recommendation. I told him I thought it was cheating and I wouldn’t help. I’m sure I was careful with my words but he got the message. He assumed that his helping me with the quiz constituted a quid pro quo. What the hell bud, I help you out of a jam and you call me a cheat? He never said that but it’s the feeling I got. 

For all the different ways people bend rules or fudge numbers, most things are black and white. The grey is the unusual, the rarity, the one off. Cheating might be a sliding scale, an orders of magnitude problem, but most of us understand when something is wrong. Here is a test for students if you aren’t sure, tell someone what you are considering. Tell a whole lot of people, friends, other teachers. Take an informal poll. If the idea of letting anyone else know what you are up too feels like it would ruin it, it’s probably cheating.

Saturday, March 30, 2019

Baseball's Creeping Math Problem


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I started reading Smart Baseball  by Keith Law, about the nature of player evaluation in baseball. Keith works with teams to evaluate performance and help big league teams win more. He’s loves numbers and comparisons and telling us how little we understand the game. He comes off a little stuffy with his 'well actually' deep dives into historic players and old statistical measurements. He’s mostly good natured though, and it’s hard not be convinced that these newer sabermetric figures are the most efficient ways to compile stats. 

I’m a bit old fashioned on sports, I enjoy the sport first and consider the numbers second. Mostly I don’t think about them. I don’t gamble or play fantasy baseball so individual stats are important as a measuring stick for historical comparison and salary. I follow teams and then players. I realize having statistically better players means you team is more likely to win, but it doesn’t mean I want to slice numbers thinner than a deli counter prosciutto. Smart Baseball isn’t a book full of cheery anecdotes and life lessons from a former executive. It’s more like a textbook, informational and straightforward.

 The thesis is really this: as a measure of value to a team, the old statistics should be phased out. If the purpose is for managers, owners, scouts and sportswriters to assign values to players, sabermetrics are perfect. The data says so at least. I think at least some portion of this is slick graphs and quirky player FYIs. But I’m willing to listen. Baseball elders did the best they knew how with available data at the time. We watch a more precise game now. Everything is tracked and nerds create new ways to map player contributions.

The much criticized statistics (batting average, RBI) at least had broad appeal. Fans and scouts knew how to score players and assign value. Newer stats like WAR (wins above replacement) and wOBA (weighted on base average) are certainly more precise but, for now, don’t have broad appeal.

 A guy named Bill James created efficient measures of performance in the late 70s. We call them sabermetrics and most clubs have come around to his way of thinking. Acceptance takes time though and just because someone comes up with a brilliant system doesn’t mean everyone will be on board. Reluctance to change doesn’t equate to stupidity or arrogance, it just means this ‘thing’ needs more time.

Sabermetrics provide value where no one knew to look before. But they risk becoming an end to themselves unless the baseball continues to draw sharp lines around their product. They should allow changes to the game on the margins and phase everything in slowly. The NFL created additional problems by trying to redefine things like catches, holding and pass interference. The multiple camera angles create the need for more precise rules on those very things we are trying to determine. It’s a vicious cycle and not one that gets resolved easy.

The MLB is a slow moving body, like an Alaskan glacier or the U.S. Senate. This is a good thing. It ensures consistency. If it lets the stats wonks change everything we track, it won’t be long before the fun is gone. Mangers will manage purely on numbers and forget how to take chances. Players won’t take chances at the plate on a first pitch strike if the percentages are bad. It could be a lab experiment, a test between each team’s mathematical models. Too boring for average fans.

 Every team needs wins. Wins come from runs. Runs come from more opportunities to score. Yes, I realize I’m summarizing the Jonah Hill explainer from Moneyball but stay with me. By valuing certain aspects of the game over others (OBP over AVG) clubs can scoop up wins they might not otherwise have gotten using traditional measures of performance. Moneyball and the A’s are just the most high profile example of this thinking. Wonkish number crunchers who follow baseball have been doing this for years, creating their own statistics I mean.

More competitive teams mean fan participation goes up. (No I didn’t create a graph for that but it stands to reason right?) Clubs sell more tickets and merchandise with a winning team in town. All this comes with a lot of caveats and side bars but winning or at least the chance of winning trumps loosing. What does the game look like in 20 years if managers utilize shifts on defense for every opposing batter and mix up the pitching rotation to devalue the closer? It might turn baseball into America’s favorite sport again, but it could also make it a total bore.

I watched a Netflix special the other night on the origins of curling. It closer to amatuer bowling in the eighties, guys from the local club meeting for beers. Apparently one of the best players found a loophole in the scoring and exploited it to countless Brier victories. The problem was it kept scoring so low and turned the whole affair into a colossal bore that fans started booing them everywhere they went. The sport instituted some rule changes to prevent low scoring games (matches?) and bring back the fans. 

I think there is a lesson in there for baseball. Make changes where necessary but be deliberate please. Too much too soon and the already dwindling fan base goes away for good. Don’t change the nature of the sport and don’t assume statistics that are practical and quantifiable will be embraced by everyone.

The average age of baseball fans is 57. So they have a problem every sport suffers with, how to attract new fans while not alienating the regulars. Don't let the math overwhelm the talent. 




Friday, March 22, 2019

Running Blog



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I’m still running. 

The winter can be tough week to week from a weather standpoint. It rains a lot in the spring too which is rapidly approaching. The worst part about the extended rainy season is that the ground is soaked and often doesn’t dry up for a long time. It makes going to the parks impossible. Last week was blustery and hoovering just under 20 degrees on Sunday, my big run day. No big deal. I needed a break. But I didn’t need one on the following Thursday when I usually do a second, much shorter, run. I missed running on the treadmill that night.

 I can’t run outdoors in the dark. In the summer I don’t mind if the sun is going down and I’m finishing up, but otherwise I avoid it. I’ve started thinking about how I’m going to approach the summer. Normally I go for a late morning jog on Sunday morning and add another morning one, maybe 3 miles, on a day off from work. So I’ll get two in for the week. But I’ve never tried to run more than 4 miles in the Oklahoma summer. It’s pretty much hot an hour after the sun is up. Anything over 3 miles is brutal. The heat adds another dimension that with sweating and cramping.

If I want to maintain the same distances in the heat, I’ll have to either run with water or wake up earlier. I can’t imagine getting up early enough for the heat to be a moot point. Even for work the earliest I’m out of bed is 8:00 am. On weekends it’s closer to 9:00. After coffee it’s almost 10:00 and by then the sun is punishing anyone foolish enough to exercise outdoors. So carrying a small bottle with a strap for my hand sounds like a good option right now. Will it be enough? I guess this will be a learning experience for me. If I have to cut back on the longer runs then so be it. I think I’ll have to answer the very tough question at the front of my mind “How bad do you want to run?”

I need to add an extra day with of running instead of doing other cardio like the spin bike at the gym. Nothing strengthens the legs for running like running. Currently I’m doing more squats and leg presses for the hamstrings. I can’t tell if mine are unusually weak or if the after jog pain is normal. I’ve heard from other runners that as long as you aren’t changing your stride the weaker muscles will come along. In other words, don’t worry about nagging soreness. Worry if something is pulled or stretched.

Anyway, I’ll keep figuring out how to increase distance and stamina in all types of conditions until It’s second nature.

Sunday, March 10, 2019

Loss of Connection


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I’ve been reading all about ISIS. Mostly I’ve been covering the news on the fighting in Syria because it looks like it’s coming to an end. The ISIS part of it at least. I feel a little guilty about not following the wars we (Americans) are currently engaged in closer. It feels so far away. Not only far in distance terms but also far away in relevant terms. This is sadly true in too many of these wars. We, the American people, lose touch with the mission and the purpose of sending soldiers there in the first place. I don’t mean the mission isn’t worthwhile or critical to preventing strongholds of Islamic terrorists that can launch attacks from sympathetic governments in foreign countries. This is how we got into Afghanistan after all, take out Al Qaeda and prevent weak governments from inviting Osama bin laden types to set up camp.

My concern is that Americans are losing connection to the conflicts we’re involved in. We are able to fight them like on a small scale with limited loss of life (good thing) and little knowledge of the scope of the battle (bad thing). Syria sums this up perfectly. 
  
Syria is basically a mixture of groups and alliances all controlling different territories and with different ideologies. It’s the last of the Muslim countries to have a rebelling in what started during 2011 in the “Arab Spring”. It’s also had the toughest government response to the fighting. Egypt, Morocco, Libya and Yemen all forced their leaders out through popular will and violent street protests. Most of the rebellions played out in similar ways, a citizen gets punished unfairly with beatings or torture for some low level crime. Defiance on a small level (supposedly kids that used graffiti on official buildings) created a full scale insurrection that dragged other fighters, jihadists and regime supporters. The underlying resentment against officials created a spark that lit a powder keg. 

When we finally did send a contingent of troops the biggest questions was “OK, so who are we supporting exactly?”  I remember talking to a women whose husband was in Syria, this was probably 2016 or so. My response was “Wait, so we have troops there?” Maybe “troops” is the wrong word, more likely they were elite units and specialists.

To say the rebels we trained didn’t share our values is an understatement. I don’t mean in the “well I don’t approve of their methods” line we use when explaining support for non-democratic leaders. I mean cruelty on a ridiculous scale. I remember a video of a rebel who killed a soldier and cut his heart out Temple of Doom style. Unlike Temple of Doom the fighter did one better and actually ate it. Yep. Those were our boys alright, for a while anyway. No one was going to make the ‘he may be a cannibal but he’s our cannibal’ case at least. We abandoned the cause of training and equipping a lot of these groups shortly after.

The reality of most wars, conflicts, episodes and flare ups is they reinforce geopolitical realities rather than realign them. Countries need allies the way people need friends.  Friendly governments align based on tradition or pragmatism. The U.S. aligns with Western Europe because of traditions rooted in similar cultures, languages, legal and economic systems. We align with governments of Iraq and Saudi Arabia because of pragmatism and trade, often reluctantly. The House of Saud fights the regime in Iran (the Ayatollahs) which spreads terrorism around through the Middle East and especially against Israel. Russia supports both the government in Iran and Syria.

It’s a bit of mess on a global scale but if you follow the alliance it makes a lot more sense. Governments help each other when it’s in their interest. For all the talk about the Cold War being over much of the alliances post WWII are still in play.

I don’t subscribe to the knee jerk reaction that “Well that’s their problem, it aint our war”. It’s getting harder to define what is “our” war and what isn’t. Part of that is our fault, we need to pay attention. We have the luxury of not knowing where Syria is on a map, let alone being able to point out the factions and list the grievances. But if we string enough of these conflicts together year after year at what point is it no longer America’s military?

It could just become a rapid deploy force for America’s allies.

The way Congress gets around voting on each conflict is to give the president the ability to conduct it on his terms (called the Authorized Use of Military Force). Presidents get to manage the war and talk to generals about the progress. It makes sense to give this authorization for expediency’s sake, but voting to send in troops in the first place is the best option. I know it’s tough to get the legislative branch to agree to anything, but when presidents make unilateral decisions it creates separate tracks of responsibility. Wars are fought by the president and the Defense Department; domestic spending and investigation are done by Congress.

 If the future of warfare is going to consist of small groups of well-trained soldiers, like Army Rangers, whose missions are limited and opaque, we should know about it. Our representatives should vote on it and tell us why they did. Whose interest was served? Does the enemy represent a threat to American operations or some third tier ally? I’m not against being in Syria necessarily but I’m worried that our success creates the impression among our friends that we are the tip of the spear in every possible fighting scenario. 

 For all the problems in Afghanistan and Iraq we had some connection to both conflicts. We had family, friends and neighbors that served in both wars. There was home-front opposition to the war and messy results in both cases. But President Bush made a convincing case for both wars we sent our troops. He paid a price. Our soldiers paid a price. Their families paid a price. We did it the right way though, tell the American people, enlist allies, plan the war.

I think this is part of the reason for trying to keep conflicts small and impersonal. Don’t force the public to decide on sending a hundred thousand troops somewhere, keep it small, keep it out the news. I’m sympathetic to that line of thinking, but if we aren’t careful it can become a pattern. Maybe it already is.