I watched the Kavanaugh hearing today.
I imagined I’d be
huddled over my phone trying to get a national radio program to stream since
nearly every station was covering it. I was prepared to turn the TV to ESPN
the way I do every day at work, and slink into my office to follow the
Q&A from the Senate Judicial Committee. My boss told me early on to put the
hearing up on the main TV so he could keep track. “Fantastic!” I thought. I get
to see it at work and my boss isn’t going to care since he is
interested too. So most of it I caught on the screen at work and some of it I
caught listening to my phone while in my office. Here are some takeaways for
me:
First, the idea that we can determine who is “believable” and
who isn’t is a nonsensical idea. Statistics show that people can’t correctly
judge guilt or innocence based on our feelings of a person’s character, demeanor,
expression or tone. Most of us develop an opinion after watching a performance,
it’s like we “must” develop a judgement. Ever watch those real life murder 'whodunnits' on NBC. They play out a disappearance or a murder and present both sides without revealing the verdict at the end? How often do you guess right?
From what I saw they both seemed
believable. That’s a problem because someone is lying.
Opinion makers
and talking heads seem to think it’s possible to believe both parties. That
there is no contradiction between Ford’s “positive” ID of the Judge and of the
Judge’s denial of the whole affair, is too much for me. I understand the need
to be careful about calling either one a liar but one of them is doing it. They
say Ford might be remembering someone else who tried to assault her. I doubt
it. I think it was either him or she is lying.
Of course none of us knows what happened but I lean toward
believing Kavanaugh because the "witnesses" who were supposedly at the party
denied being there. Also, the timing of this whole nasty affair is suspect.
Just a few days before the committee was supposed to vote, the Democrats drop
this letter on everyone. Feinstein’s office had the letter, written by Ford,
for like two months. If credible allegation of sexual assault pops up about a
judge about to be on the Supreme Court, you act on it. She waited, suggesting the Democrats were hoping to spike the nomination a different way. When it didn't work, they went nuclear.
The details are impossible to know, no one confirms Ford's side
of the story and a slew of “remembered” incidents suddenly appear in the news
after it looks like she might not testify. You know, the slimy gang rape stuff. At least some part of this thing is
cooked up by ‘outside’ groups desperate to keep a conservative off the court. I
won’t say the entire testimony is a lie, she did seem sincere and I know she
didn’t want to do this in front of the Senate, hoping for confidentiality.
The prosecutor who asked questions of Mrs. Ford tried to
show possible influence from an outside group by asking who paid the polygraph
fees. It wasn’t effective and I don’t know why the Republicans agreed to it.
Here is why Kavanaugh must be confirmed. It can't be this easy to
hurl accusations and drag someone’s name through the mud just to squelch an
appointment. You must provide evidence under our legal system. If this witch hunt succeeds it gives license for both Republicans
and Democrats to rake each other’s candidates over the coals for sport. I’m
convinced the only reason it’s been 30 years since the last one of these circus
hearings (Clarence Thomas) is because it wasn’t successful. Despite a ruined
reputation Thomas was confirmed.
How can a 36 year old allegation with no
witnesses, no date and no place be the basis for any investigation? For all the hand wringing from the Democrats
about the lack of an FBI investigation, what do they expect the bureau to
investigate? This was a stall tactic all along. Lindsey Graham said it best in
one of his finer moments, drag out the hearing until after the election and
hopefully pick up enough seats to vote the judge down.
The last question of Kavanaugh, from Kennedy (LA), was the
most appropriate of the entire hearing. He asked the judge if he believed in
God, and if so this was his chance to tell it before “God and country”. It’s appropriate because it’s a reminder that God is the ultimate judge of our
souls.
It could be that Kavanaugh is a calculating liar that doesn’t believe in
God anyway. It could also be that Christine Blasey Ford created the whole story
with help from groups to create just enough doubt to force Trump to pull the
nomination.Only God knows.